Eduardo Gudynas
Americas Program, International
Relations Center (IRC)
05/20/2005
Recently the presidents of South American nations launched a proposal
to form a “Community of Nations” that would group twelve
countries covering 17 million square kilometers, with 361 million
inhabitants, and a GDP of more than $970 billion dollars.
The initiative arose in December 2004 in the context of the third
summit of the heads of state in Cuzco , in the heart of the Peruvian
Andes. Its main promoters were presidents Lula da Silva of Brazil
, and Alejandro Toledo of Peru , with the strong support of the
Mercosur, represented by Eduardo Duhalde of Argentina .
An undertaking as ambitious as a community of nations quickly rallies
citizen support in Latin America , since this goal has a long history--dating
back to the days of the struggle for independence. Although this
makes it difficult to critically analyze these kind of measures,
it is still important to do so. The current proposal offers several
good intentions but few concrete measures, along with a strong emphasis
on commercial ties.
The South American Community of Nations (SACN) was presented as
an ambitious program that its promoters compared to the European
Union. However, the presidents did not sign a treaty to constitute
the Community and barely achieved a declaration with generic commitments
on issues such as combating poverty, generating employment, assuring
education, and committing to peace and democracy. Their principle
objective was the creation of a “South American area that
is integrated politically, socially, economically, environmentally,
and in infrastructure.” They also noted that the Community
should develop on the basis of “cooperation and concerted
political and diplomatic action” and especially through the
convergence of the two large commercial blocs: the Southern Common
Market (Mercosur) and the Andean Community of Nations (CAN), along
with Chile , Guyana , and Surinam .
The proposed integration is essentially economic, based on the
agreement for commercial complementation between the two blocs,
and through greater interconnection of highway, energy, and communication
systems. It is true that the Declaration of Cuzco cites other objectives,
such as the promotion of rural development, and technology transfer,
but its most concrete and evident component is to strengthen regional
infrastructure. In particular it seeks to support present programs,
especially the Initiative on Regional Infrastructure of South American
(IIRSA, by its Spanish initials). The founding agreement declaration
for the Community does not specify any other specific measures,
instead charging the foreign relations ministries to prepare a future
plan of action.
IIRSA is a vast construction project for new highways, bridges,
waterways, and interconnections in energy and communications throughout
the continent, particularly in the tropical zones and the Andes
. IIRSA is the result of the first South American Presidential Summit
in 2000. and now includes some 300 integration projects, some of
which are already being implemented. It is financed by the Inter-American
Development Bank, the Andean Promotion Corporation, the Plata Basin
Financial Fund (FONPLATA) and Brazilian governmental agencies.
One of the few specific accords of the launch of the SACN was the
reorganization of IIRSA. The new cooperation agreement reduces the
number of projects from 300 to 31 and places them under the umbrella
of the Community. Among the public works approved in Cuzco is a
new highway between the state of Acre in the Amazon jungle and the
department of Madre de Dios in Peru , to attain access to the Pacific.
There is huge debate over this type of project since opening highways
in the Brazilian Amazon would provide transport routes for exports
and so increase dramatically commercial agriculture, cattle, and
mining activities in the states of Rondonia, Mato Grosso, and Acre
. These regions have already seen the rapid spread of cattle ranching
and agriculture, especially soybean production, in spite of restrictions
on transport. With new ocean access routes, these sectors will grow
even more. Among the social impacts are the displacement of family
agriculture and the exclusion of indigenous groups. Environmental
impacts include the loss of tropical forests, increased erosion,
and an increase in agricultural chemical pollution. Moreover, opening
new highways in Peru coupled with greater trade liberalization would
directly affect Peruvian farmers who would have severe difficulties
competing with many other Mercosur products.
Considering these negative aspects, the question arises: Why does
Brazil insist on creating a South American Community? The available
evidence indicates that this strategy responds on the one hand to
a desire to increase export-oriented infrastructure and on the other,
the goal of expanding the Mercosur as a free-trade zone.
In effect, the infrastructure plans, which have been a key demand
of agro-industry, are a key issue in the current strategy of the
Lula da Silva government. They have received strong support in the
five-year program, and have been given lines of credit by the state
development banks that have financed various projects in Brazil
, as well as in neighboring countries within the framework of IIRSA.
In Brazil and in the other countries, current economic ideas assume
that increasing exports is an indispensable factor in achieving
the higher income needed to support the government and pay the foreign
debt. A rapid increase in exports is only possible if exporters
have more and better highways, connections to new ports, and access
routes to the Pacific Ocean given the growing demand from China
and Southeast Asia .
In this sense, the SACN serves to increase access routes for exports.
This explains why there is much insistence on building new highways
and waterways but no concrete plans of action on the broad objectives
like combating poverty. Its own commercial goals could generate
new tensions among members, since many of them export more or less
the same products and have still not achieved productive coordination
and so compete directly for international markets.
The creation of the SACN forms part of the model of broadening
Mercosur that Brazil is promoting and furthering through trade agreements
with the Andean countries. The agreement on commercial complementation
between CAN and Mercosur converts a large part of South America
into an embryo of a South American free trade zone.
This is a “weak expansion” of Mercosur, where new nations
join only as “associated members,” and do not enter
into the structure of political commitments of the “full members”
of the block. Therefore, although the Mercosur grows in number,
it does not advance in mechanisms of productive coordination, nor
substantially strengthen its political structure. Instead it maintains
the model laid out in the 1994 accords.
The newly expanded Mercosur also has not managed to become an effective
instrument for regulating relations among associates and neighbors.
Border conflicts still exist between Bolivia and Chile , which gives
leave to doubt about how to consolidate a South American Community
where two members do not even maintain diplomatic relations.
At the time of spearheading the creation of the SACN, several full
members of the Mercosur were involved in low-intensity trade disputes
( Argentina , Brazil , Paraguay , and Uruguay .) For this reason,
some heads of state felt that it was necessary to strengthen Mercosur
before advancing in the accord with the Andean Community or thinking
of forming a South American Community. This explains why the presidents
of Argentina , Paraguay , and Uruguay did not participate in the
launch of the Community, generating uncertainty about its immediate
future and sending a clear message to President Lula.
The idea of the Community also represents many risks for the Community
of Andean Nations. The CAN is facing a tense moment for many reasons--including
the negotiation of free trade agreements between Colombia , Ecuador
, and Peru and the United States , and the growing distance from
Venezuela and the demands of Brazil for a closer relationship. In
this way, the CAN is being pulled in two directions and of course
joining the SACN does not solve its problems.
Finally, the idea of an association restricted to South America
is a new blow to the dream of Latin American unity, since it excludes
Central America , the Caribbean , and Mexico . This sub-regional
approach to integration where most notably Mexico is left out, was
attempted before at the first presidential summit of South America
convoked by then-president of Brazil , Fernando Henrique Cardoso.
The current situation is in large part the continuation and accentuation
of the Brazilian ideas from back then.
Although the announcement of the South American Community of Nations
invokes the persistent dream of a union of governments and peoples,
the current proposal remains firmly on the path of traditional trade
agreements. In reality, a Latin American union requires taking another
path, with more attention to social and political demands.
Eduardo Gudynas is an information analyst at D3E (Desarrollo,
Economía, Ecología y Equidad en América Latina).
He is a regular columnist for the IRC
Americas Program. |